{"id":39901,"date":"2026-10-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/angelboss.com.br\/2026\/10\/16\/320092-ifi-projeta-deficit-de-r-861-bilhoes-em-2027\/"},"modified":"2026-10-16T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T00:00:00","slug":"320092-ifi-projeta-deficit-de-r-861-bilhoes-em-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/angelboss.com.br\/en\/2026\/10\/16\/320092-ifi-projeta-deficit-de-r-861-bilhoes-em-2027\/","title":{"rendered":"IFI projeta d\u00e9ficit de R$ 86,1 bilh\u00f5es em 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A Institui\u00e7\u00e3o Fiscal Independente (<a href=\"https:\/\/www12.senado.leg.br\/ifi\" rel=\"follow\">IFI<\/a>), \u00f3rg\u00e3o ligado ao Senado Federal, avalia que o governo federal ter\u00e1 dificuldade para cumprir a meta de resultado prim\u00e1rio de 2027. A an\u00e1lise consta do <a href=\"https:\/\/www12.senado.leg.br\/ifi\/pdf\/raf116_set2026.pdf\" rel=\"follow\">relat\u00f3rio de acompanhamento fiscal<\/a> divulgado em setembro, que examina o <a href=\"https:\/\/www12.senado.leg.br\/noticias\/materias\/2026\/08\/31\/executivo-envia-orcamento-de-2027-ao-congresso-com-minimo-de-r-1.741\" rel=\"follow\">projeto da Lei Or\u00e7ament\u00e1ria Anual<\/a> (LOA) para o pr\u00f3ximo ano.<\/p>\n<p>O projeto prev\u00ea super\u00e1vit prim\u00e1rio de R$ 18,6 bilh\u00f5es. Pelos c\u00e1lculos da IFI, no entanto, o resultado seria um d\u00e9ficit de R$ 86,1 bilh\u00f5es. Com isso, o relat\u00f3rio estima que o governo ter\u00e1 de congelar pelo menos R$ 35,7 bilh\u00f5es em gastos ao longo de 2027 para tentar cumprir formalmente a meta. A institui\u00e7\u00e3o lembra que tamb\u00e9m houve contingenciamento de despesas em 2026 e avalia que o mesmo procedimento deve ocorrer no pr\u00f3ximo ano.<\/p>\n<p>O cen\u00e1rio fiscal est\u00e1 ligado, segundo a IFI, ao comportamento da d\u00edvida p\u00fablica e dos juros. O relat\u00f3rio indica que o maior endividamento pressiona os juros para cima, o que faz a d\u00edvida crescer ainda mais. A d\u00edvida do setor p\u00fablico equivale hoje a 82,5% do Produto Interno Bruto (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ibge.gov.br\/explica\/pib.php\" rel=\"follow\">PIB<\/a>), e a IFI projeta que o percentual possa chegar a 86,4% at\u00e9 o fim de 2027. Ainda de acordo com a <a href=\"https:\/\/www12.senado.leg.br\/noticias\/materias\/2026\/09\/17\/governo-tera-que-cortar-despesas-para-fechar-as-contas-em-2027-diz-ifi\" rel=\"follow\">Ag\u00eancia Senado<\/a>, os juros elevados tamb\u00e9m influenciam o custo de financiamentos, do cart\u00e3o de cr\u00e9dito e do cr\u00e9dito consignado, e as despesas obrigat\u00f3rias limitam a margem de corte do governo.<\/p>\n<p>Outro ponto da an\u00e1lise \u00e9 o crescimento econ\u00f4mico. O governo estima expans\u00e3o de 2,5% do PIB em 2027, mas a IFI projeta 1,8%, com poss\u00edveis impactos sobre a gera\u00e7\u00e3o de emprego e renda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Programas sociais e precat\u00f3rios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Segundo a IFI, os principais programas sociais do Poder Executivo est\u00e3o garantidos no projeto de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congressonacional.leg.br\/web\/orcamento\/acompanhe\/orcamento-anual\/-\/loa\/2027\" rel=\"follow\">Or\u00e7amento<\/a>. O Bolsa Fam\u00edlia ter\u00e1 R$ 157,1 bilh\u00f5es e o Benef\u00edcio de Presta\u00e7\u00e3o Continuada (BPC), R$ 145,1 bilh\u00f5es. Abono salarial e seguro-desemprego somam R$ 104,7 bilh\u00f5es. O projeto, identificado como <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congressonacional.leg.br\/web\/orcamento\/acompanhe\/orcamento-anual\/-\/loa\/2027\" rel=\"follow\">PLN 24\/2026<\/a>, tamb\u00e9m prev\u00ea R$ 10,5 bilh\u00f5es para o programa P\u00e9-de-Meia, al\u00e9m de recursos para o novo sal\u00e1rio-paternidade, que passa a valer em 1\u00ba de janeiro, e para a amplia\u00e7\u00e3o do sal\u00e1rio-maternidade a trabalhadoras aut\u00f4nomas e rurais.<\/p>\n<p>Entre as despesas previstas est\u00e1 o pagamento de precat\u00f3rios, estimado em R$ 97,7 bilh\u00f5es em 2027. O valor \u00e9 R$ 24,6 bilh\u00f5es inferior ao de 2026, conforme o estudo. Precat\u00f3rios s\u00e3o d\u00edvidas do poder p\u00fablico reconhecidas pela Justi\u00e7a em decis\u00f5es definitivas e pagas com recursos previstos no Or\u00e7amento de cada ano. Na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com 2026, portanto, o volume de recursos reservado ao pagamento desses cr\u00e9ditos pela Uni\u00e3o ser\u00e1 menor em 2027.<\/p>\n<p>O projeto de Lei Or\u00e7ament\u00e1ria de 2027 foi enviado pelo governo ao <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congressonacional.leg.br\/\" rel=\"follow\">Congresso Nacional<\/a> em agosto e agora ser\u00e1 examinado pelos parlamentares.<\/p>\n<p>A <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/precpago.com.br\/\" rel=\"follow\">PrecPago<\/a>, uma das refer\u00eancias em antecipa\u00e7\u00e3o de precat\u00f3rios no Brasil, acompanha dados or\u00e7ament\u00e1rios e fiscais que se relacionam com o pagamento de precat\u00f3rios. Para a empresa, a redu\u00e7\u00e3o do valor para 2027 naturalmente gera a sensa\u00e7\u00e3o de instabilidade entre os benefici\u00e1rios, que j\u00e1 aguardam o recebimento pelo cronograma tradicional.<\/p>\n<p>Para a companhia, a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o de informa\u00e7\u00f5es p\u00fablicas e detalhadas sobre o Or\u00e7amento contribui para a transpar\u00eancia e permite que credores, advogados e demais agentes do setor acompanhem com mais clareza o andamento dessas obriga\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n<p><img src='https:\/\/api.dino.com.br\/v2\/news\/tr\/320092?partnerId=4593' alt=\"\" style=\"border:0px;width:1px;height:1px;\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Relat\u00f3rio da Institui\u00e7\u00e3o Fiscal Independente analisa o projeto do Or\u00e7amento de 2027; previs\u00e3o para pagamento de precat\u00f3rios \u00e9 R$ 24,6 bilh\u00f5es menor que o valor de 2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":39902,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","page_builder":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[315],"tags":[341,455,533,324,369],"class_list":["post-39901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-noticias-corporativas-dino","tag-economia","tag-executivo","tag-legislativo","tag-negocios","tag-politicas"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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